538 Presidential Predictions 2024. According to fivethirtyeight’s presidential approval tracker 1, 43.7 percent of americans approve of the job biden is doing as president, while 51 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.
A score of zero indicates an average economy, positive values are better than average, and negative. This page displays the current 270towin polling average for each state.